인컨텐션의 7월말 오스카 후보 예상

Best Picture
“Another Year”
“The Fighter”
“Inside Job”
“The Kids Are All Right”
“Made in Dagenham”
“Secretariat”
“The Social Network”
“Toy Story 3”
“True Grit”
“Winter’s Bone”

Best Director
Mike Leigh, “Another Year”
David O. Russell, “The Fighter”
Lisa Cholodenko, “The Kids Are All Right”
Nigel Cole, “Made in Dagenham”
David Fincher, “The Social Network”

Best Actor
Jeff Bridges, “True Grit”
Robert Duvall, “Get Low”
Jesse Eisenberg, “The Social Network”
Ryan Gosling, “Blue Valentine”
Mark Wahlberg, “The Fighter”

Best Actress
Annette Bening, “The Kids Are All Right”
Sally Hawkins, “Made in Dagenham”
Jennifer Lawrence, “Winter’s Bone”
Lesley Manville, “Another Year”
Julianne Moore, “The Kids Are All Right”

Best Supporting Actor
Christian Bale, “The Fighter”
Bob Hoskins, “Made in Dagenham”
Bill Murray, “Get Low”
Jack Nicholson, “Everything You’ve Got”
Mark Ruffalo, “The Kids Are All Right”

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, “The Fighter”
Barbara Hershey, “Black Swan”
Melissa Leo, “The Fighter”
Hailee Steinfeld, “True Grit”
Kristin Scott Thomas, “Nowhere Boy”

Best Adapted Screenplay
“Rabbit Hole”
“The Social Network”
“Toy Story 3”
“True Grit”
“Winter’s Bone”

Best Original Screenplay
“Another Year”
“The Fighter”
“The Illusionist”
“The Kids Are All Right”
“Made in Dagenham”

Best Art Direction
“Alice in Wonderland”
“Get Low”
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part I”
“Inception”
“The King’s Speech”

Best Cinematography
“Get Low”
“Secretariat”
“Shutter Island”
“The Tree of Life”
“True Grit”

Best Costume Design
“Alice in Wonderland”
“Black Swan”
“The King’s Speech”
“Sex and the City 2”
“The Tempest”

Best Film Editing
“The Fighter”
“Inception”
“The Kids Are All Right”
“127 Hours”
“The Social Network”

Best Makeup
“Alice in Wonderland”
“Black Swan”
“The King’s Speech”

Best Music – Original Score
“Get Low”
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part I”
“Never Let Me Go”
“The Tempest”
“Toy Story 3”

Best Music – Original Song
“My Own Love Song”
“Never Let Me Go”
“Toy Story 3”

Best Sound Editing
“The Fighter”
“Inception”
“Salt”
“Toy Story 3”
“TRON Legacy”

Best Sound Mixing
“The Fighter”
“Inception”
“127 Hours”
“Salt”
“TRON Legacy”

Best Visual Effects
“Alice in Wonderland”
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part I”
“Iron Man 2”
“Inception”
“TRON Legacy”

Best Animated Feature
“How to Train Your Dragon”
“The Illusionist”
“Jackboots on Whitehall”
“Tangled”
“Toy Story 3”

Best Foreign Language Film
“Outside the Law,” Algeria
“Kawasaki’s Rose,” Czech Republic
“Of Gods and Men,” France
“Life, Above All,” South Africa
“Au Revoir, Taipei,” Taiwan

Best Documentary Feature
“Countdown to Zero”
“His & Hers”
“Inside Job”
“The Oath”
“Restrepo”

블랙스완이나 인셉션, 더웨이백같은 타입의 영화보다

인사이드잡(다큐멘터리), 메이드인다겐햄 (영국코미디), 윈터스본 (인디필름)이 더 작품상 가능성이 크다고 봤네요.

역시 변수는 지난해바뀐 투표방식과 10개의 작품상 후보 자리일텐데 지난해만 보면 메인스트림 영화가 유리한지 인디영화가 유리한지 아직 말을 하기 어렵겠네요. (수상작 선정에서는 인디영화쪽이 조금 더 유리하겠지만)